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Zeitgeist Check
Zeitgeist Check When one steps back and contemplates the health of the financial markets, we are truly in an extraordinary generational period. Equity markets attain new highs on almost a daily basis. Employment remains relatively strong and unemployment is low. There...
Discovering the New World Order
Discovering the New World Order On so many fronts these days we are working towards a new world order. The challenges have never been greater. When the Dutch arrived in New Amsterdam or what would ultimately be called Manhattan, the business proposition was about...
War is not Science
War is not Science We have seen in recent days that war is not anywhere close to having a scientific basis for course determination. We are just not drawing any closer to any reasonable basis for closure in the case of the Iran war. The will to do so is present. But...
It Comes Out in the Warsh
It Comes Out in the Warsh No market participants were surprised last Wednesday when the Fed took no action. The press session afterwards was viewed as more hawkish. What was a bit surprising to me is the new Fed Chair’s commitment to the goal of 2% inflation. I...
Puissance on Display
Power is the fuel of our political economy. After months of debate the last portion of the federal budget has been passed. It remains unclear what was gained. Special claims funds were not eliminated, and the ballroom was not included. Now we will have a fresh start...
Mind the Gap
Mind the Gap This is a warning that a conductor on a train tells passengers who are departing to watch for the gap between the train and the platform. In the case of municipal finance, the gap refers to when revenues do not match the expenditure requirements in a...
USMCA v. YMCA Song
USMCA v. YMCA Song Among all the hot topics of the day, many highlights are being overwhelmed by updates on the war with Iran. Yet an incredibly important policy consideration is now beginning to garner more attention. The USMCA trade agreement must be renegotiated...
Turmoil Tests
Turmoil Tests Markets and investors are being tested in many ways that have not occurred in the recent period prior to the start of the war. Many comparisons are being made to prior times of crises. One of the most frequently cited lessons from the past is the...
Investor Confusion Abounds
Investor Confusion Abounds As the saying goes, war is hell and the volatility it causes in markets is also hellish. The good news is that the equity markets have not declined as severely as was the case in historical events. The economy continues to hold despite a...